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On March 18, the China Carbon Arithmetic Peak and Carbon Neutralization Results Release and Research Conference released the results of China’s Carbon Arithmetic Peak before 2030, Carbon Neutralization before 2060, Power Development Plan for Power in 2030 and 2060 Views. The reporter combined the report to introduce innovative ideas, technical hot spots, implementation difficulties and other issues that are of widespread concern to the development of the global dynamic Internet and cooperated with the organizational economic technology research institute Zhou Yuanbing.
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China Power News: The report proposes that around 2028, my country can achieve a carbonization peak of 10.9 billion yuan (excluding carbon savings of 11.5 billion yuan). How should we consider feasibility, economic and strategic? Otherwise, how did you evaluate their logic? my country has achieved carbon neutrality reduction phase planning, fast and slow rhythm and comprehensive decomposition?
Zhou Yuanbing: The peak carbon emissions must consider the needs of economic and social development, and cannot be too low, but also cannot be too high. If the peak carbon emissions are too high and the peak time is reduced, the later pressure reduction and cost will be added. Carbonatization peak is the condition and basis of carbon neutrality. Low costs realize the target of carbon neutrality, so please Sugar daddy to reach peak as early as possible with a more reasonable peak.
The European american carbonacea peak to carbon neutrality lasted 60 years, while my country has only 30 years from carbonacea peak to carbon neutrality, facing a tighter and larger reduction request than the development country.
Analysis from the normal investment acceptance and takeover cycle, the newly built high-carbon projects in the 14th Five-Year Plan and the 15th Five-Year Plan will extend the carbon emissions after 2050, bringing great pressure to the 2060 carbon neutrality target. The research and discussion revealed that if the peak value of coal-electricity equipment increases by 200 million kilowatts, it will increase the peak value of carbon emissions by 700 million, and the new capital reduction will be reduced by about 37,000 yuan; if the carbonaceous peak is promoted for 2-4 years, it will increase the additional capital reduction of 50,000 to 80,000 yuan.
A comprehensive analysis of the development of my country’s economic society, power and technology industries, and by accelerating the construction of China’s dynamic Internet, implementing “two replacements” can effectively control coal consumption, which will drop to 2.7 billion and 2.5 billion tons of mark coal in 2028 respectively; the growth rate of oil and natural gas consumption has slowed down, and Sugar daddy reached a peak of 740 million tons of oil and 500 billion cubic meters in 2030 and 2035 respectively.
Termally considering our national conditions, international emission reduction responsibilities and the reduction of capital and society, the report and discussion propose a comprehensive path to achieve peak as soon as possible before 2030, rapid emission reduction from 2030 to 2050, and comprehensive neutralization from 2050 to 2060, and realizing the “dual carbon” goal in three stages. Among them, the peak of Sugar daddy in 2028 is a technically feasible, management-oriented, and economically affordable plan.
In the peak reaching stage as early as possible, it is important to control the total fossil dynamics and improve the development rate of clean-up power. If the Feng and Guangxin dynamics power generation machine grows by more than 120 million kilowatts each year, it can achieve a lower peak peak and take time for carbon neutrality.
In the rapid reduction stage, you must first go through the process of falling in the peak and accelerate the reduction of the drainage channel. Its important driving force is the China Power Network supported by technologies such as power generation, energy storage, ultra-high pressure, electric humidity and decomposition fuel.
In the comprehensive neutralization stage, relying on deep carbon removal, carbon capture and storage technologies and carbon transfer resources to neutralize the remaining large amounts of fossil dynamic carbon emissions, there is no hope that the whole society will be realized by 2055.
In contrast, based on the reduction plan of China Power Network, the reduction of capital and capital in the whole society is relatively low. This plan will reduce the capital reduction of approximately RMB 260 per ton of CO2, which is lower than the capital reduction at 1.5℃ in the global situation and is located in the middle of the capital reduction at 2℃ in the global situation.
China Power Report: The “two replacements + China Power Network” will contribute more than 80% to my country’s carbon neutrality, which is a clear view of the report. The power industry achieved zero emissions by 2050. What is the impact and contribution of ultra-high voltage power network on the power industry and the whole society?
Zhou Yuanbing: Power services are in various industries such as industry, roads, business and residential areas. The power system has a key effect in the process of dynamic activities and the whole society’s carbon neutrality. Build a Chinese dynamic Internet and be gentle. We will vigorously promote the replacement of electricity, which can reduce the consumption of fossil power and promote rapid emission reduction for the whole society. The research and discussion has confirmed that power has the conditions to become the field with the largest emission reduction efforts and the fastest carbon removal rate. It can realize power production by 2050.Zero emissions, and then to achieve carbon neutrality in the whole society, negative emissions.
China’s Power Internet and the implementation of “two replacements” have accumulated reduction in emissions of more than 80% for my country’s carbon neutrality goals. Among them, “cleaning replacement” and “energy replacement” take the lead in the way, and the Power Internet will provide “two replacements” with no guarantee and support.
It is expected that by 2050, my country will operate 61 ultra-high voltage DC projects and 36 cross-country DC projects, with a capacity of 6Sugar daddy.700 million kilowatts, through high-quality clean power in the northern western and surrounding countries, the delivery and installation equipment is set up to the middle of the central and eastern debt, promoting the emission reduction in emissions that are difficult to reduce and cost-effective areas, and now 2.2 billion tons of carbon reduction are set up in the national scope.
China Power News: The report proposes that the realization of carbon neutrality based on China Power Network represents a comprehensive path of new power Manila escort as the main body, a large number of fossil power +CCS (carbon capture and storage) and a need for carbon transfer. What are the technology, economy and strategy behind this journey? How to consider the color positioning of CCS technology?
Zhou Yuanbing: The power system reduces emissions in a positive wayEscort manilaCarbon neutrality plays a key role in this, and the Chinese Power Network is the main base platform for promoting carbon emission reduction and carbon neutrality.
In the future, the power system will be based on new power, and it will not be able to preserve too much fossil power. If the power system has zero emissions through the fossil power supply large-scale installation and installation CCS method, the power supply will be greatly added. We have done economic calculations and preserved large quantities of coal and gas, which is 900 billion yuan higher than that of the plan to preserve large quantities of coal and gas.
CCS is mainly used in areas where carbon removal is difficult, such as cement, steel, coal chemical, pyroelectric, etc., and must be combined with the application after carbon capture. Generally, CCS is a supplementary method.
Carbon transfer is a need to realize carbon neutrality in the whole society, at 205Sugar baby00-year power system and fifty participants began to answer questions. After everything was first realized in her dream description, it was pointed out that a large number of industries that could not fully realize the replacement of electricity. Through natural carbon removal and carbon removal, etc., it promoted the realization of carbon neutrality goals by 2060.
China Power News: The report proposes to achieve the “dual carbon” goal. my country’s annual cleaning power installations will exceed 100 million kilowatts. By 2050, the total power generation of the country will reach 7.5 billion kilowatts and the power used by the whole society will reach 160,000 degrees. These are all very short and very high. Can there be a need and feasibility?
Zhou Yuanbing: The most basic way to realize the goal of “dual carbon” is to realize the cleansing and power consumption and electricity.
The power consumption cycle accelerates the energy replacement and the acceleration of the electric energy rate. From the medium and long term, China’s economy will continue to maintain a stable growth period, and there is still room for growth in th TC:
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